B. Leverkusen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
F95
1 - 2
LEV
18%
22%
61%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 0
M05
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
LUD
2 - 3
LEV
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BYM
3 - 1
LEV
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 3
WOL
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BVB
7 - 0
FCN
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HOF
1 - 1
BVB
37%
23%
40%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
BRU
0 - 1
BVB
35%
23%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
BVB
3 - 1
EIN
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
OSN
0 - 6
BVB
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | -1 |