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Bundesliga. Matchday 8

B. Leverkusen vs Bayern München analysis

B. Leverkusen Bayern München
81 ELO 96
2% Tilt 48%
54º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.6%
B. Leverkusen
20.1%
Draw
60.2%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
B. Leverkusen
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
60.2%
Win probability
Bayern München
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
B. Leverkusen
+123%
+88%
Bayern München

Points and table prediction

B. Leverkusen
Their league position
Bayern München
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
11º
13
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
13
89
82%
Wolfsburg
13
52
5%
B. Dortmund
12
82
16%
B. Leverkusen
10
77
1%
Mainz 05
10
43
12º
7%
SC Freiburg
9
45
11º
6%
Köln
8
56
6%
Union Berlin
6
46
10º
6%
Hertha BSC
6
46
6%
Hoffenheim
10º
5
49
6%
FC Augsburg
11º
5
23
16º
6%
RB Leipzig
12º
4
49
6%
Arminia Bielefeld
13º
4
21
17º
7%
Stuttgart
14º
4
47
6%
Eintracht Frankfurt
15º
4
38
14º
7%
B. Mönchengladbach
16º
4
40
13º
6%
VfL Bochum
17º
3
31
15º
7%
Greuther Fürth
18º
1
18
18º
10%
Expected probabilities
B. Leverkusen
Bayern München
Champion
20% 82%
Champions League
78% 18%
Europa League
1% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
2% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bayern München
BYM
B. Leverkusen
LEV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen
1%
X%
2%
ELO LEV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2021
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 3
B. Leverkusen
LEV
33%
27%
39%
2552 2008 -544 0
16 Sep. 2021
LEV
B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Ferencvárosi
FTC
64%
20%
16%
2547 1807 740 +8
11 Sep. 2021
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 4
B. Dortmund
BVB
39%
27%
34%
2554 3001 -447 -10
28 Aug. 2021
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 4
B. Leverkusen
LEV
36%
27%
37%
2671 2093 -578 +15
21 Aug. 2021
LEV
B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
53%
25%
22%
2652 2637 15 +19

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO BYM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
7 - 0
VfL Bochum
RTV
80%
12%
8%
3621 1490 2131 +2
14 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
22%
3567 3643 76 +57
11 Sep. 2021
RBL
RB Leipzig
1 - 4
Bayern München
BYM
31%
27%
42%
3549 2788 -761 +13
28 Aug. 2021
BYM
Bayern München
5 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
82%
12%
6%
3548 2150 1398 +4
25 Aug. 2021
BRE
Bremer SV
0 - 12
Bayern München
BYM
12%
18%
70%
3547 94 -3453 +1