Bayer Dormagen vs SC Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
82.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayer Dormagen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASM
4 - 0
BDO
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BDO
1 - 4
VFL
16%
18%
67%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SPV
2 - 4
BDO
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BDO
0 - 3
VOH
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VSA
3 - 2
BDO
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SC Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
SSV
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 3
RAT
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 5
VEL
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
VFL
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SPV
3 - 1
VEL
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |