National League South . Jor. 27

Bath City vs Eastbourne Borough analysis

Bath City Eastbourne Borough
42 ELO 44
-6% Tilt -8.2%
3867º General ELO ranking 6182º
143º Country ELO ranking 307º
ELO win probability
36.6%
Bath City
25.5%
Draw
37.9%
Eastbourne Borough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
Bath City
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.9%
Win probability
Eastbourne Borough
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bath City
-12%
+8%
Eastbourne Borough

Points and table prediction

Bath City
Their league position
Eastbourne Borough
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
21º
12º
69
22º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Bath City
Eastbourne Borough
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bath City
Eastbourne Borough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bath City
Bath City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2023
CHI
Chippenham Town
0 - 0
Bath City
BAT
42%
26%
33%
42 40 2 0
29 Dec. 2022
BAT
Bath City
2 - 2
Worthing
WOR
24%
23%
53%
41 48 7 +1
26 Dec. 2022
BAT
Bath City
1 - 3
Chippenham Town
CHI
54%
24%
22%
42 38 4 -1
20 Dec. 2022
BAT
Bath City
2 - 2
Bromley
BRO
22%
23%
55%
42 50 8 0
10 Dec. 2022
DAR
Dartford
0 - 0
Bath City
BAT
63%
21%
16%
42 48 6 0

Matches

Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2023
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
1 - 3
Havant & Waterlooville
HAV
46%
23%
30%
46 47 1 0
26 Dec. 2022
HAV
Havant & Waterlooville
1 - 2
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
57%
22%
21%
44 47 3 +2
17 Dec. 2022
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
1 - 2
Bracknell Town FC
BRA
33%
22%
45%
45 49 4 -1
13 Dec. 2022
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
0 - 2
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
66%
20%
13%
44 54 10 +1
10 Dec. 2022
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
1 - 1
Oxford City
OXF
40%
24%
36%
43 47 4 +1
X