Bastogne vs Ethe Belmont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 4
BAS
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
MEI
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
VAU
1 - 0
BAS
56%
21%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
SMA
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LOR
3 - 3
BAS
82%
11%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ethe Belmont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AUB
0 - 5
EBE
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
EBE
2 - 0
JEU
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
EBE
1 - 1
VAU
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LON
5 - 3
EBE
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
EBE
1 - 2
MEI
52%
24%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |