Bastogne vs Ethe Belmont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
73.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
BAS
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
CHA
16%
22%
62%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 3
BAS
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FON
2 - 0
BAS
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 5
MEI
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ethe Belmont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WEL
2 - 1
EBE
15%
18%
67%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
EBE
2 - 0
LIB
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 2
EBE
36%
22%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
EBE
4 - 0
MEL
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
JEU
0 - 5
EBE
11%
17%
73%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |