Bastia vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
REN
2 - 2
BAS
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCM
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1995 |
MPL
0 - 0
BAS
63%
22%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASN
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
51%
27%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
ASS
1 - 1
AUX
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
LYO
1 - 0
ASS
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1995 |
ASS
1 - 1
NAN
30%
28%
43%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
SOC
2 - 0
ASS
41%
29%
31%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
ASS
1 - 2
LEN
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |