Bastia vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1998 |
VOJ
4 - 0
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
BAS
2 - 0
VOJ
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1998 |
ALT
3 - 2
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
BAS
2 - 0
ALT
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1998 |
BAS
7 - 0
MAK
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1998 |
STR
3 - 0
MPL
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
MPL
1 - 1
AUX
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
BAS
2 - 1
MPL
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1998 |
MPL
1 - 0
CAN
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
REN
2 - 0
MPL
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |