Bastia vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
BRC
2 - 0
BAS
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BAS
0 - 2
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
FCG
3 - 1
BAS
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
BAS
0 - 0
LYO
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
MON
3 - 0
LYO
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
REN
1 - 0
MON
25%
25%
50%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
MON
2 - 0
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
AEK
0 - 0
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |