Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
TRO
3 - 0
BAS
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
BAS
1 - 0
LIL
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
STR
2 - 0
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
BAS
3 - 1
LHA
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
GUI
0 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
TRO
0 - 2
GUI
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
GUI
0 - 1
SED
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
GUI
3 - 1
MPL
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
PSG
5 - 0
GUI
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |