Bastia vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
BAS
3 - 1
NAN
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 0
TRO
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
LMU
2 - 3
BAS
25%
26%
50%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
LEN
7 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 2
GIR
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
TOU
2 - 2
GUI
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 0
LEN
32%
28%
41%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
GUI
4 - 0
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
GIR
2 - 0
GUI
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
GUI
2 - 2
MPL
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |