Bastia vs Agde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.7%
2.8%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 2
BAS
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
AMI
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 3
CSL
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
LUS
1 - 1
BAS
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Agde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
AGD
1 - 3
OLY
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CAN
1 - 1
AGD
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
FCM
0 - 0
AGD
76%
18%
7%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
AGD
2 - 1
SOC
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
MON
2 - 3
AGD
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |