French League U19 Group D Round 9

Bastia U19 vs Toulouse U19 analysis

Bastia U19 Toulouse U19
29 ELO 33
-6.5% Tilt 1.3%
10293º General ELO ranking 7173º
339º Country ELO ranking 195º
ELO win probability
32%
Bastia U19
23.8%
Draw
44.2%
Toulouse U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
Bastia U19
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.3%
Win probability
Toulouse U19
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Bastia U19
Their league position
Toulouse U19
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
14º
12º
34
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olympique Marseille U19
52
52
100%
Montpellier U19
46
46
100%
Rodez U19
45
45
100%
Monaco U19
40
40
100%
Air Bel U19
40
40
100%
Saint-Etienne U19
39
39
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
36
36
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
36
36
100%
Nice U19
35
35
100%
Toulouse U19
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Ajaccio U19
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Bastia U19
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Colomiers U19
14º
20
20
13º
100%
Béziers U19
13º
20
20
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bastia U19
Toulouse U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Bastia U19
Toulouse U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bastia U19
Bastia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
BAS
Bastia U19
1 - 0
Colomiers U19
COL
60%
21%
19%
27 24 3 0
07 Apr. 2024
OLY
Olympique Marseille U19
2 - 1
Bastia U19
BAS
71%
16%
13%
28 37 9 -1
30 Mar. 2024
BAS
Bastia U19
3 - 1
Marignane Gignac U19
MGG
39%
23%
39%
26 30 4 +2
23 Mar. 2024
BAS
Bastia U19
1 - 2
Air Bel U19
ABE
28%
22%
50%
27 35 8 -1
17 Mar. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
4 - 2
Bastia U19
BAS
55%
21%
23%
27 31 4 0

Matches

Toulouse U19
Toulouse U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
3 - 0
Air Bel U19
ABE
41%
22%
37%
32 34 2 0
07 Apr. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
1 - 2
Rodez U19
ROD
44%
22%
34%
33 33 0 -1
24 Mar. 2024
MGG
Marignane Gignac U19
1 - 1
Toulouse U19
TOU
41%
22%
37%
33 29 4 0
17 Mar. 2024
TOU
Toulouse U19
4 - 2
Bastia U19
BAS
55%
21%
23%
31 27 4 +2
10 Mar. 2024
MON
Montpellier U19
3 - 1
Toulouse U19
TOU
57%
22%
21%
33 38 5 -2