French League U19 Group D Round 17

Bastia U19 vs Gazélec Ajaccio U19 analysis

Bastia U19 Gazélec Ajaccio U19
25 ELO 20
-6.9% Tilt 0%
27184º General ELO ranking 8384º
617º Country ELO ranking 283º
ELO win probability
64.2%
Bastia U19
18.5%
Draw
17.3%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
Bastia U19
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.3%
Win probability
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bastia U19
-5%
-3%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19

Points and table prediction

Bastia U19
Their league position
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
14º
12º
36
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olympique Marseille U19
52
52
100%
Montpellier U19
46
46
100%
Rodez U19
45
45
100%
Monaco U19
40
40
100%
Air Bel U19
40
40
100%
Saint-Etienne U19
39
39
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
36
36
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
36
36
100%
Nice U19
35
35
100%
Toulouse U19
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Ajaccio U19
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Bastia U19
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Colomiers U19
14º
20
20
13º
100%
Béziers U19
13º
20
20
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Bastia U19
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Bastia U19
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bastia U19
Bastia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
1 - 0
Bastia U19
BAS
69%
17%
13%
26 36 10 0
17 Dec. 2023
BAS
Bastia U19
2 - 0
Ajaccio U19
AJA
29%
23%
48%
24 30 6 +2
03 Dec. 2023
NIC
Nice U19
1 - 1
Bastia U19
BAS
71%
16%
13%
24 33 9 0
25 Nov. 2023
BAS
Bastia U19
1 - 2
Béziers U19
BEZ
53%
22%
25%
24 23 1 0
19 Nov. 2023
COL
Colomiers U19
2 - 0
Bastia U19
BAS
54%
22%
23%
25 31 6 -1

Matches

Gazélec Ajaccio U19
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1 - 2
Montpellier U19
MON
23%
21%
55%
20 35 15 0
17 Dec. 2023
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
0 - 1
Rodez U19
ROD
35%
21%
44%
21 25 4 -1
13 Dec. 2023
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1 - 2
Olympique Marseille U19
OLY
25%
21%
55%
21 33 12 0
03 Dec. 2023
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
4 - 1
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
AJA
76%
14%
10%
22 37 15 -1
25 Nov. 2023
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1 - 0
Nice U19
NIC
22%
21%
58%
20 34 14 +2