Bastia II vs Dives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
10º
34
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GRQ
2 - 1
BAS
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 3
BAS
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STG
2 - 0
BAS
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAS
6 - 0
VTR
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
BAS
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DIV
0 - 0
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 2
DIV
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DIV
2 - 2
QUE
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
DIV
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DIV
1 - 2
ALE
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |