Bastia II vs Grande-Synthe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
DIV
2 - 4
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 2
EVR
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 1
BAS
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 1
OIS
39%
25%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 3
DRO
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 3
GRE
14%
22%
64%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAL
25%
27%
48%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 1
LUS
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | -1 |