Bastia II vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NIM
4 - 1
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
4 - 1
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SCR
4 - 0
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 1
ILE
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ANN
1 - 0
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FAB
0 - 0
ILE
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EVI
2 - 2
FAB
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FAB
0 - 0
ANN
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 1
FAB
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FAB
2 - 0
AUB
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |