Non League Div One Isthmian North. Jor. 10

Basildon United vs AFC Sudbury analysis

Basildon United AFC Sudbury
15 ELO 35
-11.9% Tilt -15.8%
8056º General ELO ranking 6114º
452º Country ELO ranking 304º
ELO win probability
9.1%
Basildon United
17.2%
Draw
73.7%
AFC Sudbury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
Basildon United
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
73.7%
Win probability
AFC Sudbury
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Basildon United
-11%
+9%
AFC Sudbury

Points and table prediction

Basildon United
Their league position
AFC Sudbury
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
11º
15º
14º
91
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hashtag United
97
98
100%
AFC Sudbury
91
91
100%
Lowestoft Town
74
77
100%
Grays Athletic
69
72
100%
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
69
69
100%
Heybridge Swifts
66
69
100%
Stowmarket Town
63
66
100%
Brentwood Town
52
55
100%
New Salamis
55
55
100%
Wroxham
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Bury Town
11º
50
50
11º
100%
East Thurrock United FC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Gorleston
13º
41
44
13º
100%
Basildon United
15º
39
40
14º
100%
Maldon & Tiptree
14º
39
39
15º
100%
Witham Town
16º
32
35
16º
100%
Great Wakering Rovers
17º
27
30
17º
100%
Coggeshall Town
19º
25
28
18º
100%
Tilbury
18º
27
27
19º
100%
Hullbridge Sports
20º
19
22
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Basildon United
AFC Sudbury
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Basildon United
AFC Sudbury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Basildon United
Basildon United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
GOR
Gorleston
3 - 1
Basildon United
BAS
60%
20%
20%
16 17 1 0
08 Oct. 2022
BRE
Brentwood Town
2 - 0
Basildon United
BAS
78%
14%
8%
17 28 11 -1
01 Oct. 2022
BAS
Basildon United
0 - 2
Stowmarket Town
STO
11%
17%
72%
17 33 16 0
20 Sep. 2022
BAS
Basildon United
2 - 1
Great Wakering Rovers
GRE
36%
24%
39%
17 18 1 0
17 Sep. 2022
BUR
Bury Town
1 - 0
Basildon United
BAS
69%
18%
13%
17 21 4 0

Matches

AFC Sudbury
AFC Sudbury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2022
HUL
Hullbridge Sports
0 - 2
AFC Sudbury
YEL
17%
21%
63%
35 21 14 0
15 Oct. 2022
YEL
AFC Sudbury
3 - 1
New Salamis
NSA
42%
22%
36%
33 35 2 +2
01 Oct. 2022
COA
Coalville Town
3 - 0
AFC Sudbury
YEL
71%
17%
12%
34 45 11 -1
20 Sep. 2022
YEL
AFC Sudbury
2 - 1
St. Albans City
STA
31%
25%
44%
33 39 6 +1
17 Sep. 2022
STA
St. Albans City
1 - 1
AFC Sudbury
YEL
56%
23%
20%
33 39 6 0
X