Bashley vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LEA
1 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
STO
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 2
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 1
CAM
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
WOR
17%
19%
63%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WOR
3 - 3
CRA
82%
12%
7%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 1
WOR
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 0
RAM
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 1
WOR
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |