Bashley vs Weymouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BED
0 - 3
BAS
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
HEM
4 - 2
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BID
0 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
CHE
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LEA
4 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Weymouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WEY
0 - 2
RED
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
WEY
0 - 3
CHE
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
STO
5 - 0
WEY
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WEY
1 - 0
BAN
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
HEM
1 - 3
WEY
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |