Bashley vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
11 - 0
BAS
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 4
YAT
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
DID
7 - 0
BAS
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 1
SHO
27%
26%
47%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 6
WAN
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MER
5 - 2
SWI
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 3
BRI
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CLE
1 - 1
SWI
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 2
WIM
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 2
FLE
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |