Bashley vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 3
CIR
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
AFT
2 - 0
BAS
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WEY
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 2
OXF
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
BAS
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
STO
4 - 1
SWI
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 4
CHI
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 2
FRO
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
SWI
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LUT
2 - 0
SWI
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |