Bashley vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
YAT
1 - 3
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
TIV
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 2
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
HEM
0 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 4
HEM
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SWI
2 - 0
MAI
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 1
SWI
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 4
SWI
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 1
STO
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |