Conference Premier Round 13

Bashley vs Swindon Supermarine analysis

Bashley Swindon Supermarine
41 ELO 44
6% Tilt 0.5%
10833º General ELO ranking 8520º
440º Country ELO ranking 347º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Bashley
25.1%
Draw
33%
Swindon Supermarine

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
Bashley
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33%
Win probability
Swindon Supermarine
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Bashley
Swindon Supermarine
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2008
YAT
Yate Town
1 - 3
Bashley
BAS
59%
21%
20%
40 36 4 0
25 Oct. 2008
BAS
Bashley
0 - 3
Tiverton Town
TIV
52%
24%
24%
42 40 2 -2
18 Oct. 2008
MAN
Mangotsfield United
0 - 2
Bashley
BAS
50%
25%
25%
40 40 0 +2
07 Oct. 2008
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
0 - 0
Bashley
BAS
62%
21%
17%
40 48 8 0
04 Oct. 2008
BAS
Bashley
0 - 3
Corby Town
COR
41%
25%
34%
42 46 4 -2

Matches

Swindon Supermarine
Swindon Supermarine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2008
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
1 - 4
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
35%
26%
39%
46 48 2 0
01 Nov. 2008
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
2 - 0
Maidstone United
MAI
49%
25%
26%
44 45 1 +2
25 Oct. 2008
CAM
Cambridge City
0 - 1
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
52%
24%
25%
44 46 2 0
18 Oct. 2008
BRA
Bracknell Town FC
2 - 4
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
39%
25%
36%
43 27 16 +1
11 Oct. 2008
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
1 - 1
Stourbridge
STO
50%
24%
26%
43 38 5 0