Bashley vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
OXF
1 - 1
BAS
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 4
FAR
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
HEM
0 - 1
BAS
24%
25%
52%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 3
CRA
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
HAL
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
STO
2 - 0
MER
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
HAL
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
STO
0 - 2
OXF
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
NUN
0 - 0
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
STO
7 - 2
WHI
31%
23%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |