Bashley vs St. Albans City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
WOR
4 - 2
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 2
WOR
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LEA
1 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
STO
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 2
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
STA
1 - 3
ASH
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
FRO
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
BED
2 - 2
STA
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
STA
2 - 2
ARL
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
STA
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |