Bashley vs Kettering Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAM
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AFT
2 - 0
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
GOS
25%
24%
52%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
WEY
1 - 0
BAS
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
KET
1 - 3
LEA
20%
23%
56%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 0
KET
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
AFT
4 - 0
KET
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
KET
0 - 1
STO
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HEM
5 - 2
KET
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |