Bashley vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
COR
1 - 3
BAS
31%
24%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 1
BAS
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 0
HAS
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
MOL
2 - 0
BAS
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 1
CRO
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
HOR
5 - 0
MOL
70%
17%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
HOR
2 - 1
LEA
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
COR
0 - 1
HOR
20%
22%
57%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
WAL
2 - 2
HOR
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
HOR
2 - 0
BAN
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |