Bashley vs Evesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 1
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 2
CLE
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
SWI
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
RUG
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 2
NUN
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
TIV
0 - 1
EVE
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
LEA
4 - 1
EVE
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 3
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HIT
1 - 2
EVE
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |