Bashley vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
AFT
2 - 0
BAS
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WEY
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 2
OXF
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
BAS
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 3
BED
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CIR
1 - 2
EVE
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
CIR
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 1
CIR
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 0
CIR
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CIR
0 - 0
HEM
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |