Bashley vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
BED
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
GOS
0 - 0
BAS
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 6
HEM
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
FRO
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
BAR
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
HEM
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
STO
0 - 2
BAR
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 1
BAN
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |