Bashley vs AFC Hayes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
ABI
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
CHE
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 1
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
THA
2 - 3
BAS
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAS
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
AFH
4 - 1
BRA
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
AFH
1 - 0
MAR
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
DID
5 - 1
AFH
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
WEF
3 - 5
AFH
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
4 - 1
AFH
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |