Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BIE
3 - 1
BAS
14%
20%
66%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 1
BAS
50%
23%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 3
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
YOB
3 - 4
ZUR
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ZUR
5 - 0
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ZUR
3 - 1
STG
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
YOB
4 - 2
ZUR
51%
22%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |