Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 0
NEX
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
FCL
0 - 2
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
STA
4 - 2
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
BAS
1 - 3
LUG
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
GCZ
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
LAU
3 - 1
ZUR
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 2
STG
61%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
LOC
3 - 5
ZUR
18%
25%
57%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |