Basel vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
SHA
4 - 1
BAS
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 0
EIN
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 0
FCL
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
THU
0 - 0
BAS
14%
20%
67%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 4
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
WIN
4 - 0
BAV
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
GCZ
0 - 6
WIN
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
WIN
4 - 0
KRI
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
LAU
1 - 2
WIN
63%
21%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
WIN
2 - 2
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |