Basel vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
5 - 1
SER
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
UJP
1 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
6 - 1
SIO
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
GCZ
0 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
DVS
2 - 2
UJP
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
UJP
1 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
UJP
1 - 2
PUS
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 3
UJP
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
III
1 - 2
UJP
11%
17%
72%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |