Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 3
BAS
9%
15%
76%
|
83 | 35 | 48 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 0
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 3
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
YOB
42%
24%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
5 - 1
DIY
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
GBS
1 - 3
STG
7%
14%
79%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
STG
1 - 1
SIO
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
3 - 1
STG
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
STG
1 - 1
BEL
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |