Basel vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
5 - 2
LAU
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 4
EGY
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
BYM
7 - 0
BAS
73%
16%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GCZ
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
ZUR
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
THU
1 - 0
SER
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SIO
0 - 1
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SER
3 - 1
GCZ
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |