Basel vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 3
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
YOB
42%
24%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
5 - 1
DIY
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
NEX
2 - 2
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
DIY
1 - 3
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 2
ROM
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 3
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
7 - 1
KOS
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 2
ROM
26%
23%
50%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
KOS
3 - 3
ROM
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |