Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 1
BAS
11%
19%
70%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 2
BAS
12%
19%
70%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAS
19%
21%
60%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
LAU
2 - 3
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 2
STG
26%
24%
51%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
YOB
6 - 0
NEX
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 2
BAS
12%
19%
70%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
NEX
2 - 1
THU
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
NEX
4 - 2
STA
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |