Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
STG
0 - 0
BAS
16%
22%
63%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SIO
3 - 0
BAS
28%
24%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
FCL
0 - 5
ZUR
33%
24%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
STG
0 - 4
FCL
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
32%
24%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GCZ
2 - 1
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |