Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FCA
0 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 3
NEX
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 4
BAS
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAS
27%
25%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
GCZ
4 - 2
FCL
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
FCL
0 - 3
YOB
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
FCL
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |