noscript image

Swiss Super League. Matchday 34

Basel FC Lugano
66 ELO 58
1% Tilt 51%
308º General ELO ranking 586º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.8%
Basel
22.6%
Draw
27.6%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
Basel
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.6%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Basel
+10%
-9%
FC Lugano

Basic stats

60
40
POS
16
13
SOT
2
7
COR
2
0
GF
0
2
GC
13
17
FRK
66
58
ELO
1.9
1.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Basel
Their league position
FC Lugano
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
10º
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Young Boys
84
84
100%
Basel
53
53
100%
Servette
50
50
100%
FC Lugano
49
49
100%
Luzern
46
46
50%
Lausanne Sports
46
46
50%
St. Gallen
44
44
100%
Zurich
43
43
100%
Sion
38
38
100%
FC Vaduz
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Basel
FC Lugano
Champion
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Lugano
LUG
Basel
BAS
Zurich
ZUR
Sion
SIO
Luzern
FCL
St. Gallen
STG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2021
BAS
Basel
2 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
56%
24%
20%
1716 1264 452 +6
08 May. 2021
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 0
Basel
BAS
56%
25%
20%
1723 1955 232 -7
01 May. 2021
BAS
Basel
1 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
58%
24%
19%
1719 1369 350 +4
24 Apr. 2021
LAU
Lausanne Sports
3 - 3
Basel
BAS
33%
27%
40%
1722 1033 -689 -3
21 Apr. 2021
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 1
Basel
BAS
30%
25%
46%
1725 942 -783 -3

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO LUG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2021
BAS
Basel
2 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
56%
24%
20%
1264 1716 452 -6
08 May. 2021
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
55%
24%
21%
1277 935 342 -13
02 May. 2021
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
47%
27%
26%
1287 1295 8 -11
25 Apr. 2021
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 1
Servette
SER
51%
25%
23%
1295 1201 94 -7
21 Apr. 2021
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
46%
27%
27%
1285 1374 -89 +10