Basel vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
WIN
0 - 4
BAS
15%
21%
65%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
RMA
5 - 1
BAS
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GCZ
3 - 1
BAS
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 1
YOB
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 4
BAS
5%
13%
82%
|
85 | 30 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FCV
2 - 2
STG
35%
26%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GCZ
0 - 1
FCV
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FCV
0 - 2
YOB
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCL
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCV
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |