Champions League Last 16
Global 1-5
Basel vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
SIO
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GCZ
2 - 4
BAS
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 2
DYN
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 3
BAS
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
FCP
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FCP
5 - 0
PAÇ
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
FCP
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |