Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
BVB
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
YOB
0 - 1
BAS
41%
24%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
GCZ
1 - 0
BAS
26%
25%
50%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
GCZ
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 3
WOH
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 2
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 0
LOC
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |