Swiss Super League Round 21

Basel vs Aarau analysis

Basel Aarau
85 ELO 65
16.4% Tilt 24%
245º General ELO ranking 741º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
80.6%
Basel
13.5%
Draw
5.9%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
Basel
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.9%
Win probability
Aarau
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Basel
+17%
-4%
Aarau

ELO progression

Basel
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2010
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 3
Basel
BAS
29%
23%
47%
85 76 9 0
07 Feb. 2010
BAS
Basel
4 - 0
Young Boys
YOB
50%
23%
28%
85 85 0 0
16 Dec. 2009
BAS
Basel
2 - 3
Fulham
FUL
51%
23%
26%
85 86 1 0
12 Dec. 2009
BAS
Basel
3 - 1
Biel-Bienne
BIE
82%
13%
6%
85 61 24 0
06 Dec. 2009
BAS
Basel
3 - 2
AC Bellinzona
BEL
77%
15%
8%
85 68 17 0

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 2010
FCA
Aarau
6 - 3
AC Bellinzona
BEL
35%
26%
39%
64 68 4 0
06 Dec. 2009
FCL
Luzern
6 - 0
Aarau
FCA
66%
21%
14%
65 75 10 -1
29 Nov. 2009
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
72%
18%
11%
65 83 18 0
07 Nov. 2009
FCA
Aarau
0 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
27%
26%
47%
66 74 8 -1
01 Nov. 2009
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
3 - 3
Aarau
FCA
70%
19%
12%
65 77 12 +1