Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
STG
2 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
STR
2 - 2
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
GCZ
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
35%
25%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCA
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
STG
1 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
30%
25%
46%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |