CD Basconia vs CD Lagun Onak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
4º
30
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
URD
1 - 1
BAS
25%
26%
50%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
BAR
26%
26%
49%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 1
BAS
36%
26%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
CDT
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LON
1 - 1
AUR
49%
25%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LON
0 - 1
URD
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
LON
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LON
0 - 1
DEU
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 2
LON
36%
25%
38%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |