CD Basconia vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EIB
1 - 5
BAS
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ZAL
2 - 0
BAS
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 1
CDU
73%
18%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 3
RSO
61%
24%
16%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ZAM
3 - 0
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 2
DAC
48%
30%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 0
AUR
32%
28%
40%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 1
SDI
51%
27%
22%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |