Basáñez vs Canadian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 3
ROC
67%
18%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUZ
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 0
BAS
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
8 - 1
ALT
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 3
BAS
21%
27%
52%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Canadian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
LUZ
1 - 3
CAN
33%
24%
44%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 0
CAN
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 0
CAN
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 2
CSC
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |